Course Information contains information on GRADING, CREDIT/NO-CREDIT, WU, INCOMPLETES, ETC.

SUGGESTED Homework sets. Dates and problems will be adjusted for your class.

click here before taking practice exams.

There is a web page for the text: Link to Goldstein Click the "jump to" button. You will find multiple choice Quizzes with answers.

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Online tutorials by Stefan Waner
Sample
Space and Events
Estimated Probability
Empirical Probability
Abstract Probability
Conditional Probability
Bayes' Theorem
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**News articles**

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**1- Article on conspiracy theories

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2- Chart showing how cancer compares with
other causes of death at various ages (NY times July 2, 2002).
It is correct to say that 1 in 8 women will bevelop breast cancer
in her lifetime? How does this compare with the chart?
What kind of probabilities are these numbers?
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3- Table of number of people waiting for
transplants and number who died waiting. Interpret these numbers
in terms of conditional probabilities. **

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4- Article on effect of Cancer Support groups on
survival from NY Times 12/13/2001. Interpret these numbers.**

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5- Article questioning effect of Mammography on
survival from NY Times 12/9/2001. How do you react to these numbers?**

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6- From a review of "The Colossal Book of
Mathematics" by Martin Gardner If you have trouble following this
try drawing a tree diagram or
click
here
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7- Article on overall risk of catastrophic failure
of Shuttle; New York Times 12/4/1993 Question: What is the
probability of at least one failure in 50 flights? in 100 flights? **

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8- Article on risk of breast cancer in L.I. women.
New York Times, April 13, 1994 Some
questions related to this article **

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9- Article on gene linked to Colon Cancer, NY
times Dec. 3, 1993
Some questions related to this article
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10- New York Times, 9/6/2000 article on Firestone
tires
Some natural questions: Identify the data in terms of conditional
probability
Can one calculate the probability of a fatal accident?
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11- Article on Tamoxifen and endometrial cancers,
NY times 9/8/00. Can one deduce the probability that a women
who had breast cancer and takes tamoxifen developes endometrial cancer?**

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12- Article from NY Times, 9/27/2000 From an
article on Income and Poverty. The NY Times understands the
difference between the median and average.
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**13- Article on Nuclear Wepons
What "calculation" did the the officials at the Strategic Air Command
make that led them to target one facility with 69 nuclear missiles?
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14-Graph from Feb. 20, 2001
A graph of "Dangerous drivers and the age spectrum" It may be
instructive to interpert this as a Histogram.**

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15- Article on Raloxifene and Breast Cancer from
Feb. 26 issue of Breast Cancer Research and Treatment
What type of probability are these numbers? Could one compute the
probability a woman with osteoporosis from the general population will
contract Breast Cancer? **

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16- Some census data from March 6 2001 NY
Times
Explain these numbers in terms of probabilities.**

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An article from the April 28 edition of the NY times on Bayes' theorem
and life. Interesting examples of applications of Bayes theorem as well as
the controversy about its use. 17-Adding art to the
Rigor of Statistical Science **

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18- An article from the June 8, 2004 edition of the
NY times on the "Fat Epidemic". An example of how statistics can
present data in two ways which seem to contradict each other. **

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19-A study reported in the NY times "Aspirin is
seen as preventing breast tumors" I marked the data with ******.
About half the women in the study had breast cancer. Can you
determine the probability a woman in the study has breast cancer if she takes
aspirin? If she does not take aspirin?**

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20- NY times 12/12/2009
Application of Bayes' theorem to the mammogram controversy. The
argument is exactly the same as the one for TB testing covered in
class. **

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